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The Impact of U.S. Monetary Normalization on Emerging Asia GDP Growth
The impact of U.S. monetary normalization will be moderate on Emerging Asia. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) 2016 outlook, like many other sources, projected growth in the Emerging Asia region (Southeast Asia, China and India) above 6% in both 2015 and 2016, led by India, at above 7% in both years. According to the results of the OECD simulation, the increase of 25 basis points would lower the gross domestic product (GDP) of the Emerging Asia as a whole by 0.56%....
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Emerging Markets Have More Tools for Growth in the Bag
Emerging markets have both monetary and fiscal tools they can use to help drive growth. First, real policy rates for emerging market (EM) central banks are still positive, suggesting room for further easing of interest rates. Also, government debt as a percent of gross domestic product (GDP) is less than half that of developed markets, suggesting room for governments to implement more fiscal and policy reforms....
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Behavior of EM Equities Around the First Fed Rate Hike
During the last three instances when the Fed raised interest rates for the second time, EM returned on average 25% after 6-months. The behavior since the December 16, 2015 Fed rate hike is consistent with prior hikes. EM equities are almost flat after three months, compared to an average three months return of -2% in the past three tightening cycles, with gains historically coming over the next three months....
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China Plans to Overhaul Tax System to Boost Consumption
China is striving to shift its economy away from a reliance on investment by boosting consumption, which contributed two thirds of economic growth last year. Premier Li Keqiang announced plans to "remove policy barriers, improve the consumer environment, and safeguard the rights and interests of consumers." As the Chinese economy develops, this transition to consumption growing faster, even as overall growth slows, is in sync with global norms....
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India Budget Bodes Well For Infrastructure Spending
India released their Union Budget on February 29. It benefits rural India and promises upgrades to infrastructure. This should help alleviate a crippling infrastructure shortage, which has been a constraint on economic growth. The Indian government plans to allocate 2.21 trillion rupees for the infrastructure development of roads, railways and ports in 2016 - 2017, up 22.5% on last year....
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Emerging market investments involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles, from economic or political instability in other nations or increased volatility and lower trading volume. Please call +1 888 800 4347 or click here access a prospectus online. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.
Index returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual fund performance. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses, which could reduce returns. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Current performance data may be higher or lower than actual data quoted. For the most current index performance data please call + 1 888 800 4347.
The content of this material is presented for general information purposes only. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are as of the date of this material. All information is historical and not indicative of future results, and subject to change. Readers should not assume that an investment in the securities mentioned above was or would be profitable in the future. This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. While the information and statistical data contained herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, we do not represent that it is accurate and it should not be relied on as such or be the basis for an investment decision. This material may include estimates, projections and other "forward-looking statements". Emerging Global Advisors, LLC assumes no duty to update any such statements. Due to numerous factors, actual events may differ substantially from those presented. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
EGA and EGShares Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. Emerging Global Advisors acts as the investment advisor to the EGShares Funds. ALPS and Emerging Global Advisors are unaffiliated entities.
Emerging market investments involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles, from economic or political instability in other nations or increased volatility and lower trading volume. Please call +1 888 800 4347 or click here access a prospectus online. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.
Index returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual fund performance. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses, which could reduce returns. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. Performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Current performance data may be higher or lower than actual data quoted. For the most current index performance data please call + 1 888 800 4347.
The content of this material is presented for general information purposes only. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are as of the date of this material. All information is historical and not indicative of future results, and subject to change. Readers should not assume that an investment in the securities mentioned above was or would be profitable in the future. This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. While the information and statistical data contained herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, we do not represent that it is accurate and it should not be relied on as such or be the basis for an investment decision. This material may include estimates, projections and other "forward-looking statements". Emerging Global Advisors, LLC assumes no duty to update any such statements. Due to numerous factors, actual events may differ substantially from those presented. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
EGA and EGShares Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. Emerging Global Advisors acts as the investment advisor to the EGShares Funds. ALPS and Emerging Global Advisors are unaffiliated entities.
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